-

-

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Another Guess

Colder weather has arrived, and with it, one of my major annoyances-- long range winter forecasts.

At best, predicting temperatures and precipitation over the next four months is a guess.

Yes, we can look at upper level winds, ocean temperatures and ocean currents.  It's clear the climate is changing.  No one really knows what it's going to do, and those people who try to feed you this stuff have no idea what they're talking about.

I'm still waiting for that active hurricane season that was predicted this year, and no one saw the mild winter of 2011-12 coming.

From what I've been reading so far, the government and the private forecasting services are all predicting a wetter and colder winter this year.  Read the fine print.  Their "forecasts" are little better than 50/50.

Concentrate on what you can do-- the next seven days.