I had a decent track record when I picked games during the playoffs, and I've been pretty good at picking Super Bowls, so let's try it again. As always, I preface the pick with the warning that I really don't know what I'm talking about.
As is my habit, I will sleep through the game. Oddly enough, the last Super Bowl I was awake for was the January 1999 game, when Denver beat Atlanta, the last time Atlanta was in a Super Bowl. On top that, any discussion of Super Bowl commercials bores me to tears.
My formula for picking the winner all comes down to this: go with the better defense. In this case, it's New England, so I predict New England wins and covers the spread.
I'm not a New England fan. They cheat. It's been proven. I would be very happy to see Atlanta get the big trophy tonight. It's the classic head versus heart conflict. Go with the head. New England.