Monday, October 25, 2021

WinterWatch

 

It's something I do twice a year-- when the yearly hurricane comes out, and when the National Weather Service makes its winter forecast.  Pick them apart.

I preface this by saying I have the utmost respect for meteorologists.  They get no credit when things go right.  They are pilloried when things go wrong.

I'm sorry if Ida hit you hard, but the hurricane season wasn't as horrible as first forecast.

Let's move on to winter.  The National Weather Service believes it will be milder than normal.

Yay!

I can live with the cold.  Snow is another story.

Yes, we do get to save some money on home heating bills, but there are a few things to keep in mind.

First, a warmer than normal winter means an increased potential for ice.  As we all know, ice can be more dangerous than snow.

Second, even the government admits there is a 50 per cent accuracy rate on these long term forecasts.  Weather patterns change every couple of months.  Technology has improved, but I wonder why they issue super long range forecasts when the accuracy rate is considerably less than desired.

Third,  and finally, warmer-- wetter-- cooler-- dryer-- There is nothing you can do about it.  Stop obsessing over these things and let life happen.