Saturday, June 25, 2022

Again?

 

It's a big part of all this week's Agnes related discussions.  Can it happen again?

Simple.  Of course it can.

It might be a little more difficult because there is more flood protection in place now, than there was in 1972.

If there is to be more flooding, it will likely be another event similar to 2011.  The ground was saturated after Irene.  Rivers, creeks, and streams were already running high.  Along came Lee and you know the rest.  I have no doubt two or three storms in rapid succession can do the same thing, probably even worse.

As for the flood protection systems, especially in the Wyoming Valley, they are well maintained and often inspected.  However, you know water.  It's very good at finding weak spots.  An undetected flaw spells disaster.

Forecasting is much better than it was in 1972.  We have a better sense of where these storms are going and the amounts of rain possible.  It won't stop the flooding, but we can prepare more effectively.

I do like reminiscing about the old days.  Civil Defense in Luzerne County back in the day was in the sub-basement of the courthouse, right along the flood prone river.  Back then, we feared nuclear war more than a flood.  Today, Emergency Management is high on a hill.

I'd like to wrap up this entry with some words of wisdom, but there are none when it comes to a situation like this.  All you can do is expect the worst,  and hope for the best.